Kamis, 26 Februari 2015

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Algorithms of the Intelligent Web, by Douglas McIlwraith, Haralambos Marmanis, Dmitry Babenko

Summary

Algorithms of the Intelligent Web, Second Edition analysis, enabling you to create your own machine learning applications that crunch, munge, and wrangle data collected from users, web applications, sensors and website logs.

Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications.

About the Technology

Valuable insights are buried in the tracks web users leave as they navigate pages and applications. You can uncover them by using intelligent algorithms like the ones that have earned Facebook, Google, and Twitter a place among the giants of web data pattern extraction.

About the Book

Algorithms of the Intelligent Web, Second Edition teaches you how to create machine learning applications that crunch and wrangle data collected from users, web applications, and website logs. In this totally revised edition, youâ'll look at intelligent algorithms that extract real value from data. Key machine learning concepts are explained with code examples in Python's scikit-learn. This book guides you through algorithms to capture, store, and structure data streams coming from the web. You'll explore recommendation engines and dive into classification via statistical algorithms, neural networks, and deep learning.

What's Inside

  • Introduction to machine learning
  • Extracting structure from data
  • Deep learning and neural networks
  • How recommendation engines work

About the Reader

Knowledge of Python is assumed.

About the Authors

Douglas McIlwraith is a machine learning expert and data science practitioner in the field of online advertising. Dr. Haralambos Marmanis is a pioneer in the adoption of machine learning techniques for industrial solutions. Dmitry Babenko designs applications for banking, insurance, and supply-chain management. Foreword by Yike Guo.

Table of Contents

  • Building applications for the intelligent web
  • Extracting structure from data: clustering and transforming your data
  • Recommending relevant content
  • Classification: placing things where they belong
  • Case study: click prediction for online advertising
  • Deep learning and neural networks
  • Making the right choice
  • The future of the intelligent web
  • Appendix - Capturing data on the web
    • Sales Rank: #828073 in Books
    • Published on: 2016-09-08
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 9.20" h x .50" w x 7.20" l, .0 pounds
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 240 pages

    About the Author

    Douglas McIlwraith earned his first degree at Cambridge in computer science before completing a PhD in sensor fusion from Imperial College in London. He is a machine learning expert, currently working as senior data scientist for a London-based advertising company.

    Dr. Haralambos Marmanis is a pioneer in the adoption of machine learning techniques for industrial solutions. He has 25 years experience in developing professional software.

    Dmitry Babenko has designed and built a wide variety of applications and infrastructure frameworks for banking, insurance, supply-chain management, and business intelligence companies. He received a M.S. degree in computer science from Belarussian State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics.

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    Rabu, 25 Februari 2015

    [Y989.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Independent Politics: How American Disdain for Parties Leads to Political Inaction, by Samara Klar, Yanna Krupnikov

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    Independent Politics: How American Disdain for Parties Leads to Political Inaction, by Samara Klar, Yanna Krupnikov

    The number of independent voters in America increases each year, yet they remain misunderstood by both media and academics. Media describe independents as pivotal for electoral outcomes. Political scientists conclude that independents are merely 'undercover partisans': people who secretly hold partisan beliefs and are thus politically inconsequential. Both the pundits and the political scientists are wrong, argue the authors. They show that many Americans are becoming embarrassed of their political party. They deny to pollsters, party activists, friends, and even themselves, their true partisanship, instead choosing to go 'undercover' as independents. Independent Politics demonstrates that people intentionally mask their partisan preferences in social situations. Most importantly, breaking with decades of previous research, it argues that independents are highly politically consequential. The same motivations that lead people to identify as independent also diminish their willingness to engage in the types of political action that sustain the grassroots movements of American politics.

    • Sales Rank: #2736829 in Books
    • Published on: 2016-01-21
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 8.98" h x .47" w x 5.98" l, .0 pounds
    • Binding: Hardcover
    • 272 pages

    Review
    "Despite being aware of the existence of closeted partisans for quite some time, we know next to nothing about them: who they are, what motivates them to go undercover, the political and psychological conditions that increase their numbers, and how this affects American democracy. In Independent Politics, Klar and Krupnikov provide a fascinating and timely analysis of the psychological underpinnings of closeted partisanship. Using a combination of clever experiments and observational studies, the authors convincingly demonstrate that political disagreement leads many Americans - in particular those who are strongly attuned to social norms - to take a dim view of political parties, partisanship, and partisans. The political consequences of their analysis for democratic citizenship and political representation are far-reaching."
    Howard Lavine, University of Minnesota

    "The political science literature contains numerous claims about independents, most of which rest on a very thin bed of evidence. This book tells us as much about today's independents as the extant literature combined. It is a must-read for anyone interested in American public opinion and elections."
    Morris Fiorina, Stanford University, California

    "Klar and Krupnikov show, through a series of clever experiments, that although independents may vote like partisans, their disdain for parties leads them to go 'undercover', and avoid all manner of expressive political behaviors. Independent Politics is a fascinating read that makes a significant contribution to the subfields of political participation and political psychology. It will drive scholars to think about the decision to identify as independent in heretofore unrecognized ways."
    Joanne Miller, University of Minnesota

    "Klar and Krupnikov show that avoiding partisanship is a meaningful decision that has important implications for civic engagement. Using a variety of convincing tests, Independent Politics is a major work that will undoubtedly shape future research on partisan politics in the United States."
    Stephen P. Nicholson, University of California, Merced

    About the Author
    Samara Klar is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Arizona. She studies how individuals' social surroundings and personal identities influence their political attitudes and behaviors. Her work has been published in numerous journals including the American Journal of Political Science, the Journal of Politics, and Public Opinion Quarterly, and has been supported by the National Science Foundation. She has been recognized with a Distinguished Junior Scholar award in Political Psychology from the American Political Science Association and a Burns Roper Fellowship from the American Association of Public Opinion Research. Klar earned a PhD in Political Science from Northwestern University, Illinois and also holds degrees from Columbia University, New York and McGill University, Montréal.

    Yanna Krupnikov is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at State University of New York, Stony Brook. Her research focuses on the way political communication affects public opinion and the way people express their political opinions through political actions. Krupnikov's work has been published in numerous journals including the American Journal of Political Science, Political Behavior, and Political Communication, and has been supported by the National Science Foundation. She is the winner of the Midwest Political Science Association's Robert Durr Award and the award for the best paper by an emerging scholar. Krupnikov earned a PhD in Political Science from the University of Michigan and also holds degrees from the University of Toronto and Brandeis University, Massachusetts.

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    2 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
    I'm just about finished with the book, and it ...
    By Marvin Hanka
    I'm just about finished with the book, and it has been enlightening, entertaining, and well worth the effort. This book just solidifies my observations about politics and the social media.

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    Selasa, 24 Februari 2015

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    The revolution in molecular technologies has created a revolution in our perception of the living world. It is life, but not as we knew it. The science studying this new world, uncovering the relationships between genes, developing organisms, and their environments, is called ecological developmental biology. This book presents the data for ecological developmental biology, integrating it into new accounts of medicine, evolution, and embryology. The new evolutionary science created by this approach to nature is called ecological evolutionary developmental biology (eco-evo-devo). The book documents the evidence for a new, extended, evolutionary synthesis, a synthesis that: confounds the creationist belief that evolution can't be described above the species-level; integrates aging and Western diseases such as diabetes, atherosclerosis, cancer, and obesity into an evolutionary context; and sees interspecies interactions both within the organism and between organisms as being critical for evolution, development, and fitness.

    • Sales Rank: #507447 in Books
    • Published on: 2015-08-11
    • Original language: English
    • Dimensions: 10.25" h x 8.00" w x 1.25" l, 3.30 pounds
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 576 pages

    About the Author
    Scott F. Gilbert, a Senior Research Associate at Swarthmore College and the Finland Distinguished Professor at the University of Helsinki Institute of Biotechnology, teaches developmental biology, developmental genetics, and the history of biology. After receiving his B.A. from Wesleyan University, he pursued his graduate and postdoctoral research at The Johns Hopkins University and the University of Wisconsin. Dr. Gilbert is the recipient of several awards, including the first Viktor Hamburger Award for excellence in developmental biology education, the 2004 Alexander Kowalevsky Prize for evolutionary developmental biology, honorary degrees from the Universities of Helsinki and Tartu, and the Medal of François I from the Collège de France. He is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, a corresponding member of the St. Petersburg Society of Naturalists, and has been chair of the Professional Development and Education Committee of the Society for Developmental Biology. His research pursues the developmental genetic mechanisms by which the turtle forms its shell.

    David Epel is the Jane and Marshall Steel Jr. Professor Emeritus of Biological Sciences at Stanford University s Hopkins Marine Station in Pacific Grove CA. He did his undergraduate studies at Wayne State University and then graduate and postdoctoral studies at the University of California, Berkeley and the University of Pennsylvania. Dr. Epel has been a Guggenheim Fellow, is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the California Academy of Sciences, and an Overseas Fellow of Churchill College and Life Fellow of Clare Hall at the University of Cambridge. His honors include the Cox Medal for Fostering Undergraduate Research at Stanford and the Ed Ricketts Memorial Award for Lifetime Achievement in the Marine Sciences. Epel s research focused on cell biology of development, especially the activation of the egg at fertilization, the unique physiology of the embryo and the cellular mechanisms of embryo protection. His current interest is high school science education. One area is highlighting early development of the sea urchin embryo to capture the imagination and interest of high school students. New curricula focus on the science of climate change and how students can help to solve this problem.

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    Minggu, 22 Februari 2015

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    • Sales Rank: #5746063 in Books
    • Published on: 1978-05-18
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Binding: Paperback
    • 184 pages

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    This scarce antiquarian book is a facsimile reprint of the original. Due to its age, it may contain imperfections such as marks, notations, marginalia and flawed pages. Because we believe this work is culturally important, we have made it available as part of our commitment for protecting, preserving, and promoting the world's literature in affordable, high quality, modern editions that are true to the original work.

    • Sales Rank: #6930981 in Books
    • Published on: 2010-05-23
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 10.00" h x .25" w x 7.01" l, .70 pounds
    • Binding: Hardcover
    • 54 pages

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    NOW AN ORIGINAL SERIES ON ABC • “Just may be the best new comedy of [the year] . . . based on restaurateur Eddie Huang’s memoir of the same name . . . [a] classic fresh-out-of-water comedy.”—People
     
    “Bawdy and frequently hilarious . . . a surprisingly sophisticated memoir about race and assimilation in America . . . as much James Baldwin and Jay-Z as Amy Tan . . . rowdy [and] vital . . . It’s a book about fitting in by not fitting in at all.”—Dwight Garner, The New York Times
     
    NATIONAL BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY KIRKUS REVIEWS
     
    Assimilating ain’t easy. Eddie Huang was raised by a wild family of FOB (“fresh off the boat”) immigrants—his father a cocksure restaurateur with a dark past back in Taiwan, his mother a fierce protector and constant threat. Young Eddie tried his hand at everything mainstream America threw his way, from white Jesus to macaroni and cheese, but finally found his home as leader of a rainbow coalition of lost boys up to no good: skate punks, dealers, hip-hop junkies, and sneaker freaks. This is the story of a Chinese-American kid in a could-be-anywhere cul-de-sac blazing his way through America’s deviant subcultures, trying to find himself, ten thousand miles from his legacy and anchored only by his conflicted love for his family and his passion for food. Funny, moving, and stylistically inventive, Fresh Off the Boat is more than a radical reimagining of the immigrant memoir—it’s the exhilarating story of every American outsider who finds his destiny in the margins.
     
    Praise for Fresh Off the Boat
     
    “Brash and funny . . . outrageous, courageous, moving, ironic and true.”—New York Times Book Review
     
    “Mercilessly funny and provocative, Fresh Off the Boat is also a serious piece of work. Eddie Huang is hunting nothing less than Big Game here. He does everything with style.”—Anthony Bourdain
     
    “Uproariously funny . . . emotionally honest.”—Chicago Tribune
     
    “Huang is a fearless raconteur. [His] writing is at once hilarious and provocative; his incisive wit pulls through like a perfect plate of dan dan noodles.”—Interview
     
    “Although writing a memoir is an audacious act for a thirty-year-old, it is not nearly as audacious as some of the things Huang did and survived even earlier. . . . Whatever he ends up doing, you can be sure it won’t look or sound like anything that’s come before. A single, kinetic passage from Fresh Off the Boat . . . is all you need to get that straight.”—Bookforum


    From the Hardcover edition.

    • Sales Rank: #4253 in eBooks
    • Published on: 2013-01-29
    • Released on: 2013-01-29
    • Format: Kindle eBook

    Amazon.com Review
    Q&A with Eddie Huang

    Q. You're a chef, but your restaurant doesn't show up in this book until pretty late. If you're not writing about your restaurant--the fabulous Baohaus in New York--then what are you writing about?

    A. Food is at the core of the book, but I examine it beyond the plate, almost as a symbol. There's only one recipe in this book and there are no measurements. I want people to understand the power that food has as a gateway drug into culture and history, but, first and foremost, my book tells a story about growing up Taiwanese-Chinese in America. It's a story about unpacking your identity, purging yourself of the things your environment has imposed upon your consciousness, and trying to set yourself free. I refused the American Experience I was sold, remixed it for myself, chopped it up, and sold it back.

    Q. One of the powerful aspects of the book is the language you use, which feels completely original. Where does your voice come from?

    A. Language is constantly changing and the biggest disservice you can do to yourself and your reader is to write how you think you're "supposed to" write. My parents didn't really speak English at home, so I had to develop my English voice independently and mostly through pop culture--I grew up speaking Chinese, listening to hip hop, and watching cable television. Learning to trust my own voice was probably the most important thing I ever did. When I was in college, Richard Ford visited during a speaking series and criticized Ha Jin, who had just won the National Book Award, for writing in English because it wasn't his native tongue, implying that Ha Jin should stick to Chinese. I was just a half-assed student at the time, but I stood up and argued with Ford from my seat till they made me sit down. My mother speaks broken English but even with her comic disregard for subject-verb agreement, she throws mad knowledge darts. You should never worry about what others think about the language you use, as long as it's truly your own.

    Q. What do you want readers to take away from Fresh Off the Boat?

    A. The simple surface reading of this book is to be yourself by any means possible. That's the basic theme, but I want people to see how implementing a simple concept like that takes a struggle between you and your country, you and your city, you and your reference group, you and your family, you and your race, you and the sub cultures you subscribe to, and on and on. It's about the constant battle between that little voice inside you and the people you love, the legacy you carry, the cultures that make you curious, the country that tells you who you're supposed to be. It's about the complexity of being an individual--about finding love in family, in friends, in food, in music and culture, and a million other surprising places, and figuring out how to bring all that together inside of you. It's about learning to be fearless, but it's also about the cost of those lessons and the literal and psychic violence you encounter when you try to break free.

    There are tons of books about the struggle to be an individual, but with each one we reach more and more people who were never spoken to. I was always a weirdo growing up, but I believed that there were weirdos like me, and my writing this book is like Professor X putting on cerebro to find the other mutants.

    From Booklist
    Born in the U.S. to Taiwanese immigrant parents, Huang refuses to be a “lapdog under a bamboo ceiling,” and his colloquial, furious memoir is as open about his struggling, screaming, sometimes abusive parents as it is about the prejudice he encounters growing up in Orlando and then in New York, where to this day “someone tells me to go back to China at least three times a year.” He hates that everything he does is a statement about his people and where they are from, even as he refuses to be reformed, assimilated, apologetic. Always refusing to fit in, he wants to hurt people like they hurt him, and he succeeds. Now he runs a big New York City gourmet restaurant and a food store, and, throughout the book, food is front and center, including his mother’s recipe for the best beef noodle soup. Readers will leave hungry, and many immigrants will recognize the refusal to go with the model minority myth. --Hazel Rochman

    From Bookforum
    Let it be said right now that although writing a memoir is an audacious act for a thirty-year-old, it is not nearly as audacious as some of the things Huang did and survived even earlier. —Melanie Rehak

    Most helpful customer reviews

    9 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
    Missed opportunity to say something worthwhile
    By Rowing gal
    I usually love books that expose me to other cultures and experiences. I didn't care for this one. I wasn't turned off by language as some others seem to be, but I was turned off by tone. Rather than giving the reader insight, it's merely a personal success story written in a "I'm too cool for you" tone. I finished it, but I don know why.

    3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
    You like basketball and hip-hop
    By Matthew Mcmanus
    I'm halfway through it and it's insufferable. I'd seen Eddie on Bill Maher's show a few times and he seemed interesting. Yet his memoir makes it clear he doesn't have a modest bone in his body. He talks about the appropriation of Chinese cuisine by white Americans, but he's blind to the fact that he shamelessly appropriates black culture. You like basketball and hip-hop? That's cool, but you grew up in a gated community and went to private school, so you're a little inauthentic. Eddie's pretty much a real-life version of the guy in "Malibu's Most Wanted."

    5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
    know you audience, or in this case your author
    By Amazon Customer
    Interesting, but not at all the book I was expecting after seeing his interview on Bill Maher. Mr. Huang has much to say, but it is often difficult to follow how he is saying it. If you aren't versed in Hip Hop, you will have a great deal of trouble following much of the content.

    See all 362 customer reviews...

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    • Published on: 1978-11-24
    • Original language: French
    • Dimensions: 1.46" h x 4.53" w x 7.09" l,
    • Binding: Leather Bound
    • 1376 pages

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    Interest Rate Models - Theory and Practice: With Smile, Inflation and Credit (Springer Finance), by Damiano Brigo, Fabio Mercurio

    The 2nd edition of this successful book has several new features. The calibration discussion of the basic LIBOR market model has been enriched considerably, with an analysis of the impact of the swaptions interpolation technique and of the exogenous instantaneous correlation on the calibration outputs. A discussion of historical estimation of the instantaneous correlation matrix and of rank reduction has been added, and a LIBOR-model consistent swaption-volatility interpolation technique has been introduced.

     

    The old sections devoted to the smile issue in the LIBOR market model have been enlarged into a new chapter. New sections on local-volatility dynamics, and on stochastic volatility models have been added, with a thorough treatment of the recently developed uncertain-volatility approach.

    Examples of calibrations to real market data are now considered.

     

    The fast-growing interest for hybrid products has led to a new chapter. A special focus here is devoted to the pricing of inflation-linked derivatives.

     

    The three final new chapters of this second edition are devoted to credit.

    Since Credit Derivatives are increasingly fundamental, and since in the reduced-form modeling framework much of the technique involved is analogous to interest-rate modeling, Credit Derivatives -- mostly Credit Default Swaps (CDS), CDS Options and Constant Maturity CDS - are discussed, building on the basic short rate-models and market models introduced earlier for the default-free market. Counterparty risk in interest rate payoff valuation is also considered, motivated by the recent Basel II framework developments.

    • Sales Rank: #114057 in Books
    • Brand: Brand: Springer
    • Published on: 2006-08-02
    • Original language: English
    • Number of items: 1
    • Dimensions: 9.21" h x 2.13" w x 6.14" l, 3.60 pounds
    • Binding: Hardcover
    • 982 pages
    Features
    • Used Book in Good Condition

    Review

    From the reviews:

    SHORT BOOK REVIEWS

    "The text is no doubt my favorite on the subject of interest rate modeling. It perfectly combines mathematical depth, historical perspective and practical relevance. The fact that the authors combine a strong mathematical (finance) background with expert practice knowledge (they both work in a bank) contributes hugely to its format. I also admire the style of writing: at the same time concise and pedagogically fresh. The authors’ applied background allows for numerous comments on why certain models have (or have not) made it in practice. The theory is interwoven with detailed numerical examples…For those who have a sufficiently strong mathematical background, this book is a must."

    From the reviews of the second edition:

    "The book ‘Interest Rate Models – Theory and Practice’ provides a wide overview of interest rate modeling in mathematical depth. … The authors found a good approach to present a mathematically demanding area in a very clear, understandable way. The book will most likely become … one of the standard references in the area. … if one were to buy only one book about interest rate models, this would be it." (David Skovmand and Michael Verhofen, Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Vol. 21 (1), 2007)

    "This is the book on interest rate models and should proudly stand on the bookshelf of every quantitative finance practitioner and student involved with interest rate models. If you are looking for one reference on interest rate models then look no further as this text will provide you with excellent knowledge in theory and practice. … is simply a must for all. Especially, I would recommend this to students … . Overall, this is by far the best interest rate models book in the market." (Ita Cirovic Donev, MathDL, May, 2007)

    "This is a very detailed course on interest rate models. Its main goal is to construct some kind of bridge between theory and practice in this field. From one side, the authors would like to help quantitative analysts and advanced traders handle interest-rate derivatives with a sound theoretical apparatus. … Advanced undergraduate students, graduate students and researchers should benefit from reading this book and seeing how some sophisticated mathematics can be used in concrete financial problems." (Yuliya S. Mishura, Zentralblatt MATH, Vol. 1109 (11), 2007)

    From the Publisher
    Please note that the first edition is out of print and the second will be available in March 2006 (ISBN 3540221492)

    Most helpful customer reviews

    5 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
    Extremely detailed
    By Dr. Lee D. Carlson
    The modeling of interest rates is now a multi-million dollar business, and this is likely to grow in the years ahead as worries about quantitative easing, government budgets, housing markets, and corporate borrowing have shown no sign of abatement. The approach that the authors take in this book has been branded as too "theoretical" by some, particularly those on the trading floors, or those antithetic to modeling in the first place. The authors though are aware of such reactions to financial modeling, and actually devote the end of the book to a hypothetical conversation between traders and modelers (but omitting some of the vituperation that can occur between these groups). The book is written very well, with calculation steps for the most part included in detail. Since it is a monograph, there are no exercises, but readers will find ample opportunities to fill in some of the calculations or speculate on some of the many questions that the authors list in the beginning to motivate the book. These questions are invaluable for newcomers to the field, or those readers, such as this reviewer, who are not currently involved in financial modeling but are very curious as to the mathematical issues involved. There is also an excellent list of "theoretical" and "practical" questions in the preface that the authors use to motivate the book, along with a detailed summary of upcoming chapters.

    The first part of the book sets the tone for the rest of the book, and can be considered as an elementary introduction to the theory of contingent claim valuation. In this discussion the authors focus on a portfolio consisting of riskless security (bond) and a risky security (stock) that pays no dividend. The object is to follow the time evolution of the price of these two securities. The time evolution of the riskless bond is merely exponential, as expected, but that of the risky security is random according to a geometric Brownian motion. The `trading strategy' consists of holding a number of units of each of these securities at each time. All changes in the value of the portfolio can be shown to be entirely due to capital gains, with none resulting from the withdrawal or infusion of cash. The authors refer to this as a `self-financing' strategy, and the initial investment results in a pattern of cash flows that replicates that of a call option. This option is attainable by dealing only in a stock and a bond. This leads to the question as to what class of contingent claims a group of investors can actually attain, where a contingent claim is viewed as a nonnegative random variable which is measurable with respect to a filtration of a probability space. This filtration can be viewed as essentially a collection of events that occur or not depending on the history of the stock price. The bearer will obtain a payment at expiry, the size of which depends on the prior price history.

    A contingent claim is said to be `attainable' at a particular price if there exists a self-financing trading strategy, along with an associated market value process that equals the initial prices and equals the contingent claim at expiry. It is shown that every contingent claim is attainable in a complete market. The goal is then to find conditions under which arbitrage is impossible, i.e. conditions that prevent the occurrence of a zero investment and through some trading strategy is able to obtain a positive expected wealth at some time in the future. The authors show that a market is free of arbitrage if and only if there is a martingale measure, and that a market is complete if and only if the martingale measure is unique.

    It was primarily the interest of this reviewer in analytical models rather than Monte Carlo simulations, even though there is a thorough discussion of the latter in this book, including the most important topic of the standard error estimation in simulation models. For analytical modeling, the Vasicek model is usually the first one discussed in the literature, and this book is no exception. But the Vasicek model allows negative interest rates and is mean reverting. The authors want to go beyond this model by searching for one that will reproduce any observed term structure of interest rates but that will preserve analytical tractability. One of these, the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model, is analytically tractable and preserves the positivity of the instantaneous short rate. Ample space in the book is devoted to a discussion of this model, which is essentially one where one adds a "square root" to the diffusion coefficient.

    Physicists who aspire to become financial engineers may find the discussion on the change of numeraire to be similar to the "change in gauge" in quantum field theory. In the latter, a clever choice of gauge can make calculations a lot easier. The same goes for a choice of numeraire for pricing a contingent claim, and the authors give a detailed overview of what is involved in doing so. Of particular importance in this discussion is the role of the Radon-Nikodym derivative, a concept that arises in measure theory, and also the use of Bayes rule for conditional expectations. To fully appreciate this discussion, if not the entire book, readers will have to have a solid understanding of these concepts along with stochastic calculus and numerical solution of stochastic differential equations.

    Interestingly, the authors devote a part of the book to the connection between interest rate models and credit derivatives, wherein they argue that credit derivatives are not only interesting in and of themselves, but that the tools used to model interest rate swaps can be applied to credit default swaps to a large degree. Of particular importance is the appearance of copulas in chapter 21, which have been criticized lately for their alleged role in the "financial crisis". The authors give an overview of these entities for the curious reader but do not use them in the book.

    Some readers may find when first exposed to `reduced form models' that they might seem too extreme or judged to be inapplicable because default is viewed as being essentially independent of market observables. Instead default is modeled by an exogenous jump stochastic process. The authors spend a fair amount of time explaining why these models are suitable for credit spreads. In particular, they show that the probability to default after a given time, i.e. the `survival' probability, can be interpreted as a zero coupon bond and the intensities as instantaneous credit spreads. Positive interest short-rate models can therefore be used to do default modeling. The lack of an economic interpretation for the default event is to be contrasted with term structure models, and the authors discuss this in detail.

    Structural models on the other hand are tied to economic factors, namely the value of the firm, i.e. its ability to pay back its debt. If this value drops below a certain level, the firm is taken to be insolvent. The authors give a brief overview of structural models, emphasizing their similarities to barrier-free option models, but do not treat them in detail in the book, since they do not have any analogues to interest rate models. For credit risk, the defaultable zero coupon bond is the analog of the zero coupon bond for interest rate curves. The forward rate for credit default swaps also has an analog with LIBOR and SWAP rates. Readers interested in counterparty risk will be exposed to an interesting assertion, namely that the value of a (generic) claim that has counterparty risk is always less than the value of a similar claim whose counterparty has a probability of default equal to zero. The authors give a rigorous formulation of this assertion by proving a general counterparty risk pricing formula.

    Poisson processes, used heavily in network modeling and queuing theory, are discussed here in the authors' elaboration of intensity models, along with Cox processes where the intensity is stochastic. Detailed examples are given which illustrate how to use reduced form models and market quotes to estimate default probabilities.
    Monte Carlo simulations, which are the bread and butter of financial modeling (along with many other fields of modeling) are used to simulate the default time. The authors address the problem of large variance and the consequent large number of simulations needed if the standard error is just one basis point. Techniques of variance reduction in Monte Carlo simulation are well-known, and the authors discuss one of these, the control variate technique.

    Also discussed is a hybrid model where both interest rates and stochastic intensities are involved, and the authors show how to calibrate survival probabilities and discount factors separately when there is no correlation between the interest rates and intensities. The calibration must then be done simultaneously when this is not the case. One is led to ask in this case, and in general, whether interest rate data can serve as a proxy of default calibration, and vice versa. Not really, but the authors do explain how the correlation can be ignored, since it has little impact on credit default swaps.

    Ensuring that interest rates remain positive is thought of as an important side constraint by many modelers, who point to the large negative rates that may occur in Gaussian models of interest rates. One model that particularly stands out in this regard is due to B. Flesaker and L. Hughston, and which is discussed in one of the appendices in the book. Their strategy is to enforce positivity via the discount factor, and doing this in such a way so as to eliminate the possibility of "explosions", i.e. situations where the payoff can become infinite in an arbitrarily short time. Their model can essentially be characterized by an integral representation for discount bonds in terms of a family of kernel functions. The members of this family are positive martingales, and this ensures the required positivity. Their behavior under a change of measure involves a ratio called the `state-price density' or `pricing kernel', and this shows that the Flesaker-Hughston model can be interpreted as a general model of interest rates. Arguments are given as to whether all choices of kernel can result in viable interest rate models. Examples are given illustrating that not all can be, but the Flesaker-Hughston model is interesting also in that it does not depend on possibly highly complex systems of stochastic differential equations for interest rate processes. The authors unfortunately do not include a discussion on how to calibrate this model to market data, but instead delegate it to the references.

    Note: This book was read and studied between the dates of September 2007 and July 2011.

    1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
    Great book
    By Kasper Sørensen
    I really, really like this book. Chapter 2 and chapter 6 make this book all worth buying. Especially if you take into account Brigo's own lecture notes on the homepage [...] I don't think chapter 7&8 are very good but the chapters about volatility are really great. The rest of the book I haven't read yet. Really worth buying if you are in to interest models!

    1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
    Very good and useful book.
    By TUNG, MENG-YUN
    The most useful book about complex interest rate products.
    The depth and breadth of this book is impressive.
    The author did a good balance between theory and practice.

    See all 13 customer reviews...

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